Preseason Rankings
Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#91
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.3#187
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#80
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#121
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.2% 2.3% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 3.1% 5.6% 1.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.8% 20.3% 7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.5% 19.9% 7.0%
Average Seed 8.2 8.0 8.7
.500 or above 25.1% 38.2% 15.3%
.500 or above in Conference 15.8% 26.0% 8.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.2% 9.1% 32.0%
First Four1.7% 2.3% 1.3%
First Round11.8% 19.1% 6.4%
Second Round5.8% 9.5% 3.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.8% 3.1% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Final Four0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 42.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 11
Quad 23 - 45 - 16
Quad 33 - 28 - 17
Quad 43 - 012 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 101   @ Boston College L 71-73 43%    
  Nov 10, 2019 173   Columbia W 78-69 80%    
  Nov 13, 2019 301   UNC Asheville W 75-59 93%    
  Nov 17, 2019 276   @ Charlotte W 72-63 78%    
  Nov 22, 2019 52   Davidson L 68-72 34%    
  Nov 28, 2019 123   College of Charleston W 71-69 58%    
  Dec 04, 2019 43   @ Penn St. L 67-76 22%    
  Dec 07, 2019 22   North Carolina St. L 76-81 35%    
  Dec 14, 2019 23   Xavier L 69-73 34%    
  Dec 21, 2019 325   N.C. A&T W 79-60 95%    
  Jan 04, 2020 72   @ Pittsburgh L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 08, 2020 18   Florida St. L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 11, 2020 3   @ Duke L 70-87 7%    
  Jan 14, 2020 85   Virginia Tech W 68-66 56%    
  Jan 19, 2020 101   Boston College W 74-70 63%    
  Jan 21, 2020 81   @ Clemson L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 26, 2020 10   Virginia L 58-66 24%    
  Jan 29, 2020 41   @ Notre Dame L 65-74 23%    
  Feb 01, 2020 81   Clemson W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 05, 2020 6   @ Louisville L 64-81 9%    
  Feb 08, 2020 59   @ Syracuse L 65-72 29%    
  Feb 11, 2020 5   North Carolina L 77-88 18%    
  Feb 15, 2020 63   @ Miami (FL) L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 19, 2020 75   Georgia Tech W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 25, 2020 3   Duke L 73-84 18%    
  Feb 29, 2020 41   Notre Dame L 68-71 41%    
  Mar 03, 2020 5   @ North Carolina L 74-91 9%    
  Mar 06, 2020 22   @ North Carolina St. L 73-84 20%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 2.8 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 3.1 3.0 0.6 0.1 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.9 3.4 1.1 0.1 9.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 3.4 4.2 1.3 0.1 9.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 3.6 4.8 2.2 0.2 0.0 11.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 3.7 5.4 2.5 0.4 0.0 13.0 13th
14th 0.2 1.3 4.1 5.0 2.4 0.4 0.0 13.5 14th
15th 0.9 3.1 4.6 3.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 14.3 15th
Total 0.9 3.3 5.9 8.9 11.0 12.7 12.0 12.0 9.2 8.4 5.8 4.2 2.5 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 91.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 40.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 31.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 6.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 100.0% 8.3% 91.7% 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 10.1% 89.9% 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.2% 100.0% 15.5% 84.5% 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.4% 100.0% 11.7% 88.3% 4.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 1.0% 99.2% 5.0% 94.2% 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
13-7 1.6% 97.5% 2.6% 94.9% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.4%
12-8 2.5% 89.8% 0.9% 88.9% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 89.7%
11-9 4.2% 70.0% 1.3% 68.7% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3 69.6%
10-10 5.8% 43.5% 0.6% 42.9% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.3 43.2%
9-11 8.4% 17.1% 0.1% 16.9% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 6.9 17.0%
8-12 9.2% 3.3% 0.0% 3.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.9 3.3%
7-13 12.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.5% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.9 0.5%
6-14 12.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0 0.0 12.0 0.0%
5-15 12.7% 12.7
4-16 11.0% 11.0
3-17 8.9% 8.9
2-18 5.9% 5.9
1-19 3.3% 3.3
0-20 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 12.8% 0.3% 12.4% 8.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.8 2.0 1.9 2.1 0.6 0.0 87.2 12.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%